Additional Documentation

Additional technical documentation is available for many aspects of the information presented in RiskProfiler including modelling and datasets. Key technical documentation includes:

  • Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment in Canada
    • “The first public national Canadian seismic risk model: scientific underpinnings and preliminary results for the pre-release”. Hobbs, T E; Journeay, J M; Rao, A S; Kolaj, M; Martins, L; Simionato, M; Silva, V; Pagani, M; Johnson, K; Rotheram, D; LeSueur, P; Proceedings of the United States National Conference on Earthquake Engineering 2022 p. 1-5 (NRCan Cont.# 20210380)
    • “Scientific Basis of Canada’s First Public National Seismic Risk Model”. Hobbs, T E; Journeay, J M; Rao, A S; Martins, L; Kolaj, M; Simionato, M; Silva, V; Pagani, M; Johnson, K; Rotheram, D; Geological Survey of Canada, Open File 8918, 2022, 63 pages, https://doi.org/10.4095/330927 Open Access
  • Earthquake Scenario Reports
    • “An earthquake scenario catalogue for Canada: a guide to using scenario hazard and risk results”. Hobbs, T E; Journeay, J M; Rotheram, D; Geological Survey of Canada, Open File 8806, 2021, 22 pages, https://doi.org/10.4095/328364 Open Access
    • “A selection of earthquake scenarios for government planning purposes in 2021”. Hobbs, T E; Geological Survey of Canada, Open File 8853, 2022, 9 pages, https://doi.org/10.4095/329397 Open Access
    • “Benchmarking scenario performance in the first generation Canadian seismic risk assessment”. Hobbs, T E; Journeay, J M; Yip, J Z K; Rao, A; Earth and Space Science Open Archive 2020 p. 1-13, https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10504862.2 Open Access (NRCan Cont.# 20200548)
  • The OpenDRR Platform
    • “Open disaster risk reduction data platform”. van Ulden, J; Chow, W; Rotheram-Clarke, D; Ulmi, D; Fok, A; Hobbs, T E, in Resilient pathways report: co-creating new knowledge for understanding risk and resilience in British Columbia; Safaie, S (ed.); Johnstone, S (ed.); Hastings, N L (ed.); Geological Survey of Canada, Open File 8910, 2022 p. 1-9, https://doi.org/10.4095/330541 Open Access
  • Human Settlement Layer
  • Other documents
    • “Developing a retrofit scheme for Canada’s Seismic Risk Model”. Hobbs, T E; Journeay, J M; LeSueur, P; Geological Survey of Canada, Open File 8822, 2021, 10 pages, https://doi.org/10.4095/328860 Open Access
    • “A methodology to leverage seismic risk assessments to inform seismic policy development, the Case of the City of Vancouver”. Hilt, M; Molina Hutt, C; Hobbs, T E; Wen, F; Proceedings of the United States National Conference on Earthquake Engineering 2022 p. 1-5 (NRCan Cont.# 20210384)
    • Pagani, M., Monelli, D., Weatherill, G., Danciu, L., Crowley, H., Silva, V., Henshaw, P., Butler, L., Nastasi, M., Panzeri, L. and Simionato, M., 2014. OpenQuake engine: An open hazard (and risk) software for the global earthquake model. Seismological Research Letters, 85(3), pp.692-702.
    • Many of the definitions on the website are drawn from the HAZUS Earthquake Model Technical Manual (version 4.2).

About Earthquake Scenarios

An earthquake scenario describes a potential earthquake and its consequences. Scenarios are defined by a magnitude, location, fault type, and are developed for specific faults that can produce large earthquakes.

Explore earthquake scenarios

About Probabilistic Earthquake Risk

When multiple earthquake scenarios are combined, the result is called probabilistic earthquake risk. Probabilistic earthquake risk represents the potential consequences of all earthquakes that may occur over a defined time period from known earthquake sources. For example, probabilistic earthquake risk analysis can estimate the average annual economic losses from earthquakes or the economic loss expected to occur about once every 500 years.

Consider probabilistic earthquake risk

Probabilistic Risks

Probabilistic seismic risk considers the impact of all possible earthquakes, over a time period of interest. To explore the risk in your area, please select an indicator below.

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